Brazil: Coffee Semi-annual

Post decreases the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year 2023/24 (July-June) to 66.3 million 60-kg bags, based on a projected decline in robusta/conilon production. Post forecasts arabica production at 44.9 million bags, a 12.8 percent increase over the previous season, due to an increase in planted area and higher yield. Robusta/conilon production is projected at 21.4 million bags, 1.4 percent lower than the previous estimate of 21.7 million bags and 6.1 percent lower in relation to the last season. Total coffee exports for 2023/24 (July-June) are estimated at 43.9 million 60-kg bags, green beans, down from the previous estimate of 45.4 million 60-kg bags, due to a slower than expected trade flow of arabica coffee at the beginning of this marketing year, motivated by less than attractive prices in stock markets. However, the 2023/24 exports are projected to be 22.3 percent higher than the MY 2022/23 exports.