Cotton 2021 Export Highlights

Top 10 Export Markets for U.S. Cotton

(values in million USD)
Country 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2020-2021 % Change 2017-2021 Average
China 973 920 705 1,822 1,343 -26% 1,153
Vietnam 1,056 1,312 1,428 1,161 1,026 -12% 1,197
Pakistan 297 615 628 787 710 -10% 608
Turkey 730 682 648 574 558 -3% 638
Mexico 404 372 288 178 407 129% 330
Bangladesh 284 387 388 329 311 -6% 340
Indonesia 498 600 417 257 218 -15% 398
India 435 333 586 147 214 45% 343
South Korea 248 231 167 111 153 38% 182
Peru 97 113 87 61 128 111% 97
All Others 805 985 799 525 643 22% 752
Total Exported 5,827 6,550 6,140 5,951 5,711 -4% 6,036

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Trade Data - BICO HS-10

Highlights

In 2021, the value of U.S. cotton exports declined 4 percent year-over-year, but the quantity fell by more than 20 percent. During the second half of 2021, strong unit values helped offset weak shipments, but shipments to China were down 70 percent year-over-year as State Reserve imports of U.S. cotton halted. Also, exports to Vietnam were down by more than 50 percent as Australia’s bountiful 2021 crop hit the market – which was four and a half times as large as the previous year.

Exports to Mexico in both value and volume saw strong growth as Mexico’s production fell and consumption showed a strong recovery from 2020’s COVID-19-depressed levels. Strong shipments of high-valued Pima cotton to India and Peru boosted values to those markets.

The United States was the world’s third-largest producer and largest cotton exporter by volume, accounting for one-third of world shipments.

Drivers

  • A much smaller 2020 U.S. crop reduced exportable supplies in 2021 while production by major competitors remained stable.
  • A large rally in prices during the second half of the year was somewhat spurred by purchases from the PRC’s State Reserve.

Global Cotton Exports

Stacked bar graph showing global cotton exports in 2021.  The top three exporters are the U.S., Brazil, and India

Looking Ahead

For 2022, U.S. cotton exports are likely to increase on both a volume and value basis. Higher global trade is expected, and a larger U.S. crop is expected to support larger shipments. Cotton prices, which are at a 10-year high, are expected to boost export values above the 2021 level. China’s imports are expected to remain stable. Competition for market share in Southeast and East Asian markets will intensify with an even larger Australian crop in 2022.

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